2025 Polish Election Analysis: The Causes & Impact of Nawrocki’s Victory

By Christian Georgiou

In this paper we discuss:

• The reasons behind Nawrocki’s victory?
• Domestic sentiment and international recognition of the results;
• How Nawrocki united rightwing parties in the second round;
• Future governmental polarisation and upcoming issue-specific paralysis;
• The potential for Law & Justice Party’s resurgence; and
• International impact, through the lenses of the “Weimar Triangle” and the broader EU.

Download PDF: Poland Elections July 2025