Oman’s Geopolitical Neutrality Under Pressure in a New Gulf Security Order

In this paper, we discuss:

• How the Iran conflict has deepened divisions within the GCC over regional security and relations with Tehran;
• Why Oman’s long-standing policy of neutrality is coming under growing pressure from both Iran and its Gulf partners;
• How Muscat is balancing its role as a diplomatic intermediary with rising regional security tensions;
• Why the future governance of the Strait of Hormuz has become a key geopolitical flashpoint;
• How increasing regional polarisation is challenging Oman’s traditional foreign policy and strategic autonomy.

Download PDF: Oman – July 2026