Italian Regional Elections and Referendum Pose a Threat to The Government

By Brunello Rosa

14 September 2020

In this paper we discuss:

• Italy’s constitutional referendum of 20 September 2020;
• Italy’s regional elections in Liguria, Veneto, Marche, Toscana, Campania and Puglia;
• Why these elections represent a threat for the incumbent governing coalition;
• Why the regional election in Tuscany is a “stealth” national test;
• What are the favourable and unfavourable scenarios for the government;
• What could lead to a government collapse and snap general elections in early 2021.

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