by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

In this paper we discuss:

  • The state of the US economy, whose core is slowing down;
  • The Fed’s decision to leave rates unchanged today, with two dissenters in the FOMC for the first time in decades; 
  • The two dissenters are the two candidates voiced to possibly replace Powell in May 2026; 
  • That the economy has performed broadly in line with the SEP released in June; and 
  • The muted market reaction to the Fed’s decision today, which was widely expected. 

Download PDF: Fed Review July 2025

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