by Marco Lucchin

18 February 2022

In this paper we discuss:

  1. The sequence of events that led to the protest in January;
  2. The wider political context that fuels the internal power struggle;
  3. The economic dependence on Russia, China and western countries;
  4. The next steps and possible outcomes; and
  5. The macroeconomic, policy and market implications of all the above

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