by Tiana Peterson

In this paper, we discuss:

  • Europe’s declining confidence in US security guarantees amid shifting US priorities;
  • The EU’s accelerated push toward strategic autonomy and military mobilisation;
  • Germany’s growing leadership role in EU rearmament, as France faces fiscal limits;
  • Rising tension over NATO’s future, as Europe prepares for weaker US backing.

Download PDF: Transatlantic – January 2026

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