by Nato Balavadze

In this paper, we discuss:

  • How GDP growth is masking weak domestic demand;
  • The weakening employment trends; 
  • The likely inflation rebounds ahead;
  • Tariffs as a tax on Americans and the impact on fiscal revenues; 
  • Tariffs as a multipurpose Tool;
  • Private credit’s rise amid tariff volatility and AI boom; and 
  • The broader economic fallout. 

Download PDF: US Tariffs August 2025

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