Checkmate or Stalemate: Iran’s Nuclear Future and the E3’s Strategic Dilemma

by Noel Jackson Therattil

In this paper we discuss:

• The JCPoA’s tough choice and the potential impact of triggering the ‘snapback’;
• Iran’s likely compromise and the impact on its economy;
• China’s potential to emerge as a crucial player, improving its leverage in future negotiations;
• US and Israeli strikes on Iran, which may cement Iran’s ‘nuclear weapons as deterrence’ strategy.

Read it here: Iran’s nuclear future August 2025