In this paper, we discuss:

  • Why Gulf states are looking to China for leverage over Iran;
  • Why Beijing is unlikely to provide security guarantees in the Gulf;
  • How competing Iranian and US systems now govern passage through Hormuz;
  • How China is reducing its dependence on the Strait rather than seeking to reopen it;
  • Why China’s growing regional influence stops short of assuming security responsibility.

Download PDF: China and the Strait of Hormuz – September 2026

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