Merkellism Triumphant: Why the German Election Will Not Change Very Much For Germany and Europe

By John C. Hulsman

29 June 2021

In this paper we discuss:

1. The latest polls ahead of the September 2021 general election;
2. How the Greens lost ground in the polls in the last few weeks;
3. Why the CDU is likely to remain the first party;
4. Why a three-party coalition is likely needed to form a government after the election;
5. Why Merkellism will survive Merkel’s departure; and
6. The macroeconomic and geopolitical implications of this expected result.

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