Gc Jch 12nov20

GEOPOLITICAL CORNER

The World Through Two Very Different Sets of Eyes: American Politics After the 2020 Election

By John C. Hulsman

12 November 2020

In this paper we discuss:

1. The latest results on the US presidential and general elections;
2. Why a nasty fight on the electoral result is still likely to occur, but Biden is likely to win it;
3. The divisions emerged within the US between blue and red states, and within parties;
4. What Biden can actually achieve if the GOP keeps the Senate;
5. How the GOP will prepare its comeback in 2024;
6. How Trump could be the GOP frontrunner in 2024;
7. Why the divisions within the Dems, if not resolved, could lead to a catastrophic defeat in 2024; and
8. The market implications of all the above.

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