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Monetary Affairs
Oct 29, 2026

Preview: ECB Takes a Breath In its “Measured Tightening Cycle”, Ahead of a Likely December Hike

Brunello Rosa

Nato Balavadze

In this paper, we discuss:

  • Why the ECB held rates despite rising inflation;
  • How energy prices and tighter financial conditions are shaping monetary policy;
  • How Lagarde’s early departure could reshape ECB leadership;
  • How European bonds, equities and the euro reacted to the decision.

Download PDF: ECB Review – October 2026

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