In this paper, we discuss:

  • China’s dual-track strategy of publicly neutral diplomacy while indirectly supporting Iran;
  • A pragmatic approach focused on stability, energy security, and avoiding escalation;
  • The economic and geopolitical risks the conflict poses to China’s growth and global positioning;
  • China’s strategy of hedging, buffering, and signaling to manage competing interests;
  • The limits of China’s “selective leadership” in shaping outcomes despite growing global influence.

Download PDF: China – April 2026

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