In this paper, we discuss:

  • The Bank of England kept rates unchanged, reflecting heightened uncertainty;
  • The energy shock is raising inflation while weakening growth, creating a policy trade-off;
  • Policymakers have paused, with the next move potentially being a rate hike;
  • Inflation is expected to rise again due to higher energy prices;
  • The policy outlook remains conditional on the duration of the shock.

Download PDF: BOE Review – March 2026

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