In this paper, we discuss:

  • Why the BoE kept rates unchanged in a 6-3 vote;
  • How the Middle East energy shock has shifted UK inflation risks further to the upside;
  • Why the BoE remains ready to raise rates despite pushing back against aggressive market pricing;
  • Why a 25bp rate hike could come as early as November.

Download PDF: BOE Review – September 2026

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