In this paper, we discuss:

  • The BoE’s decision to keep Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75%, with two members dissenting in favour of a hike;
  • Why most policymakers remain committed to an “active hold” despite persistent inflation risks;
  • How the Iran-related energy shock is influencing the UK inflation outlook and monetary policy debate;
  • How markets have repriced the UK rate outlook amid geopolitical uncertainty and higher inflation risk premia.

Download PDF: BOE Review – June 2026

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