by Brunello Rosa and Nato Balavadze

In this paper we discuss:

  • Our latest assessment of the British economy, which is slowing down as a result of the planned US tariffs;
  • The rate cut we expect in May and the further easing ahead;
  • The downward revision to the growth forecasts and the upward revision to the inflation outlook we expect;
  • The market reaction we expect. 

Download PDF: BOE Preview May 2025

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