In this paper we discuss:
• The renewed US push for Greenland and rising transatlantic tensions over Arctic security.
• Trump’s Davos “framework” shifting from coercion to negotiation without abandoning strategic aims.
• European concerns in Munich, framing Greenland as a test of NATO unity.
• A likely outcome of expanded defence cooperation rather than sovereignty transfer.
• Broader implications for NATO cohesion and Europe’s strategic autonomy debate.
Download the PDF: Greenland – February 2026