In this paper we discuss:

• The renewed US push for Greenland and rising transatlantic tensions over Arctic security.

• Trump’s Davos “framework” shifting from coercion to negotiation without abandoning strategic aims.

• European concerns in Munich, framing Greenland as a test of NATO unity.

• A likely outcome of expanded defence cooperation rather than sovereignty transfer.

• Broader implications for NATO cohesion and Europe’s strategic autonomy debate.

Download the PDF: Greenland – February 2026

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